How Big Data and Predictive Analytics are Transforming the World of Accounting and Auditing

Big Data in Accounting & Auditing

Document information

Author

Swenson Advisors

Major Accounting
Company

Swenson Advisors

Place San Diego
Document type Presentation
Language English
Format | PDF
Size 828.33 KB

Summary

I.The Rise of Big Data and Predictive Analytics in Accounting and Auditing

The accounting and auditing world is undergoing a significant transformation driven by the exponential growth of big data and the power of predictive analytics. With 2.5 quintillion bytes of data created daily, and 90% of all existing data generated in the last two years, accountants and auditors must adapt to leverage this information. This requires embracing an "anticipatory organization" approach, focusing on predicting future trends rather than merely reacting to past events. The integration of predictive accounting and predictive auditing is crucial for improved decision-making and risk management.

1. The Data Deluge and the Need for Anticipation

The section opens by highlighting the sheer volume of data generated daily – 2.5 quintillion bytes – with a staggering 90% of all existing data created in just the last two years. This massive influx of information from diverse sources (sensors, social media, transactions, etc.) necessitates a fundamental shift in how accountants and auditors operate. The presentation emphasizes the need to transition from a reactive to a proactive approach, anticipating change rather than merely responding to it. Dan Burrus's concept of the 'anticipatory organization' is introduced, advocating for CPAs to develop skills to identify 'hard' trends (those certain to happen) versus 'soft' trends (those that might happen). The core message is that proactive strategic planning, based on future trends analysis, is crucial for success in today's rapidly changing environment. This requires a significant investment in understanding and utilizing the insights buried within this massive dataset, thereby underscoring the importance of predictive analytics.

2. Understanding Predictive Analytics and its Applications

The document defines predictive analytics as the process of extracting information from data sets to identify patterns and predict future outcomes. Several examples illustrate its practical applications across various fields. These include using predictive analytics to predict friendships on social media, customer cancellations (with 65-90% accuracy), and even influenza outbreaks. This highlights the breadth of applications and underscores the power of data analysis to anticipate and respond to various phenomena. The ability to make reliable decisions based on large datasets is contrasted with past practices of 'cherry-picking' data to justify decisions already made, highlighting a key shift in the industry's approach to data usage. The significance of skilled professionals who can effectively implement data and analysis strategies is emphasized, noting the growing tangible value of such expertise within organizations. This sets the stage for the discussion on how these methods will transform accounting and auditing practices.

3. Predictive Analytics and its Role in Accounting and Auditing

This section delves into the specific applications of predictive analytics within the accounting and auditing domains. It distinguishes between financial accounting (focused on valuation and compliance) and managerial accounting (focused on value creation and internal decision-making). The example of Hewlett Packard (HP) illustrates how continuous auditing and continuous monitoring, powered by data analytics, can lead to more agile decision-making. HP's experience with addressing the high frequency of manual journal entries is showcased as a successful case study of applying data-driven insights to improve internal controls and operational efficiency. This highlights the practical implications of integrating predictive analytics into day-to-day accounting procedures. The discussion lays the groundwork for understanding the more detailed application of Audit Data Analytics (ADA), which is detailed in subsequent sections.

II.Predictive Analytics in Action Examples and Applications

Predictive analytics offers numerous applications across various sectors. Examples include predicting customer churn with 65-90% accuracy, forecasting influenza outbreaks, and even predicting friendships on social media platforms. These techniques analyze existing datasets to identify patterns and predict future outcomes. In accounting, this translates to identifying and assessing risks (e.g., bankruptcy, management fraud), performing more effective continuous auditing and continuous monitoring, and improving the quality of financial statement audits. Companies like Hewlett Packard (HP) are already leveraging continuous monitoring to improve efficiency and decision-making, addressing concerns like high volumes of manual journal entries.

1. Diverse Applications of Predictive Analytics

The section illustrates the versatility of predictive analytics through real-world examples. It highlights its use in predicting friendships on social media platforms, demonstrating the ability to analyze user data to suggest connections. Another example showcases its application in customer retention, predicting which customers are most likely to defect to competitors with impressive 65-90% accuracy. This demonstrates the potential for proactive customer relationship management strategies. Further expanding its reach, the document notes the successful application of predictive analytics in public health, specifically in forecasting influenza outbreaks. These diverse examples highlight the power and wide-ranging potential of predictive analytics across various domains, emphasizing its ability to identify patterns and predict future outcomes in seemingly unrelated fields. This breadth of application reinforces the importance of embracing these techniques in other sectors, including accounting and auditing.

2. Transforming Decision Making in Business and Auditing

The section contrasts the traditional approach of 'cherry-picking' data to support pre-conceived decisions with the more data-driven methodology enabled by advanced analytics. It underscores a significant shift toward using large datasets to inform reliable decision-making. The perspective of Marshall Toplansky, Managing Director at KPMG's Center of Excellence in Data and Analytics, is cited, highlighting the growing recognition of the tangible value of professionals skilled in data analysis and strategy implementation. The discussion touches upon the fundamental differences between financial and managerial accounting. Financial accounting deals with valuation and external compliance, while managerial accounting focuses on value creation through internal decision-making. This lays the foundation for showcasing how predictive analytics can enhance both types of accounting, leading to more informed strategies and improved operational efficiency. The increasing availability of tools and expertise is transforming how organizations manage and understand their data.

3. Case Study Hewlett Packard HP and Continuous Auditing

A case study of Hewlett Packard (HP) demonstrates the practical application of predictive analytics within a major corporation. HP's identification of concerns regarding the high frequency and volume of manual journal entries (JEs) highlights a common problem within organizations. The company's subsequent adoption of a continuous auditing and continuous monitoring approach illustrates the proactive use of data analytics to address the root causes of these issues. By standardizing entries and improving controls, HP significantly enhanced its decision-making process. This success story demonstrates the potential of advanced analytical techniques to not only identify problems but also to implement data-driven solutions to improve operational efficiency and internal controls. This successful application within a major corporation serves as a strong example of the benefits of integrating predictive analytics within existing processes for a significant improvement in performance and oversight.

III.Audit Data Analytics ADA and the Future of Auditing

The AICPA's white paper, "Reimagining Auditing in a Wired World," envisions the future of auditing through the lens of Audit Data Analytics (ADA). ADA involves using methodologies to identify anomalous patterns and outliers, mapping financial performance across various dimensions, and assessing risks associated with audit engagements. ADA can be incorporated into audits at various stages, from risk assessment to substantive analytical procedures. However, there are barriers, including a lack of awareness and expertise, access to the right tools, and relatively small data volumes analyzed in some cases. Companies like KPMG are investing in data analytics expertise to enhance audit quality and provide more insightful information to management.

1. Audit Data Analytics ADA A New Paradigm

The AICPA's white paper, "Reimagining Auditing in a Wired World," introduces Audit Data Analytics (ADA) as a transformative approach to auditing. ADA leverages big data techniques and continuous auditing to enhance the audit process. The core components of ADA include methodologies for identifying and analyzing anomalous patterns and outliers within datasets. It also involves mapping and visualizing financial performance across various dimensions (operating units, systems, products) to pinpoint areas of higher audit risk. This approach contrasts sharply with traditional methods, offering a more efficient and effective means of assessing risk and identifying potential issues within a company's financial records. The integration of data analytics empowers auditors with the capacity to systematically analyze vast quantities of information, leading to a more comprehensive and accurate assessment of financial health and risk. This ultimately enhances the overall quality and reliability of audits.

2. Integrating ADA into the Audit Process

The document outlines four key areas where ADA can be strategically integrated into the audit process. Firstly, ADA can be used to identify and assess the risks associated with accepting or continuing an audit engagement, including factors like the risk of bankruptcy or high-level management fraud. Secondly, it aids in assessing the risks of material misstatement by understanding the entity's environment, encompassing preliminary analytical procedures and the evaluation of internal controls. Thirdly, ADA facilitates the performance of substantive analytical procedures in response to assessed risks of material misstatement. Finally, it helps identify and assess risks of material misstatement due to fraud. This comprehensive integration demonstrates the potential of ADA to significantly improve the accuracy, efficiency, and thoroughness of audits at every stage of the process. The use of ADA moves audits beyond a simple review of historical data toward a more predictive and risk-focused approach.

3. Challenges and Barriers to ADA Adoption

While the potential benefits of ADA are significant, the document also acknowledges several challenges to its widespread adoption. These include a lack of awareness and expertise among auditors concerning the capabilities and applications of ADA. Another significant barrier is acquiring the necessary tools and technology required for effective implementation of ADA. Furthermore, the relatively small data volumes analyzed in some audits currently limit the full potential of ADA. These issues underscore the need for investment in training and development of audit professionals, along with the acquisition of appropriate technology and data infrastructure. Addressing these challenges will be crucial for the successful and widespread integration of ADA within the auditing profession and the full realization of its transformative potential. KPMG's acquisition of McLaren Technology Group further highlights the industry's commitment to investing in these areas for better analysis capabilities.

IV.Big Data s Impact on Regulatory Compliance and Fraud Detection

The increased availability of data and the power of predictive analytics are significantly impacting regulatory compliance. Organizations are using these advancements to improve fraud detection, enhance risk assessment processes, and ensure greater adherence to regulations. For example, IntegraAnalytics uses predictive analytics for transaction screening, identifying potential customer risks, and intercepting suspicious transactions. The growing emphasis on compliance and regulatory compliance in areas such as bribery detection (as exemplified by Red Flag Group's solutions) is driving the adoption of advanced analytical techniques.

1. Enhanced Fraud Detection and Risk Assessment

The increased availability of data and the application of advanced analytics are revolutionizing fraud detection and risk assessment practices. The FDA's experience highlights how these advancements significantly enhance the risk assessment process and improve fraud detection capabilities. This is further emphasized by the mention of KPMG's audit and advisory services, which leverage data-driven insights to radically transform audit quality and provide deeper insights to management. The ability to analyze vast datasets allows for the identification of patterns and anomalies that might otherwise go unnoticed, enabling proactive risk mitigation and improved compliance. The emphasis is on moving beyond reactive measures to a more predictive approach to compliance, leveraging data to anticipate and prevent potential issues before they escalate into major problems. This proactive approach is transforming the way organizations manage risk and maintain compliance.

2. Data Driven Compliance and Transaction Monitoring

The integration of predictive analytics into transaction monitoring systems is dramatically changing the compliance landscape. IntegraAnalytics, for example, utilizes predictive analytics for transaction screening, monitoring supplier and sales transactions to identify potential compliance risks. This proactive approach allows for the interception of suspicious transactions before they lead to non-compliance issues, enabling a more efficient and effective compliance program. The use of predictive analytics is presented as a key component of modern compliance strategies, highlighting its role in identifying and addressing potential risk areas proactively. The example of Red Flag Group (RFG) further illustrates the use of predictive analytics in a specific compliance scenario, targeting bribery in B2B transactions. RFG's solution utilizes transaction screening to identify and prevent fraudulent activities, illustrating the potential of data analysis to mitigate reputational and financial risks.

3. Challenges and Barriers in Implementing Data Driven Compliance

While the potential benefits of big data and analytics in improving regulatory compliance are significant, there are also inherent challenges and barriers to overcome. The document briefly mentions some of these hurdles, including a lack of awareness and expertise within organizations, difficulty in obtaining the appropriate tools, and the relatively small data volumes being analyzed in some cases. These factors highlight the importance of investment in training, technology, and data infrastructure to fully realize the benefits of data-driven compliance. The discussion briefly touches on the evolving role of accounting and its need to adapt to the increased reliance on data-driven insights by investors, thereby underscoring the urgency and necessity of adopting advanced analytical techniques for maintaining compliance and competitive advantage.

V.San Diego s Role in Big Data Research and Development

San Diego is emerging as a hub for big data research, particularly in biomedicine. The University of California, San Diego (UCSD), and the J. Craig Venter Institute have recruited leading big data researchers from institutions like Google and MIT. This highlights the growing importance of data analytics and its potential applications across diverse sectors, emphasizing the interdisciplinary nature of the field.

1. San Diego s Emerging Role as a Big Data Hub

The excerpt highlights San Diego's growing prominence as a center for big data research and development, particularly in the biomedical field. The city is described as a focal point for a nationwide effort to utilize high-speed computing and advanced software to analyze large biomedical datasets. The goal is to uncover insights into various diseases, ranging from cancer to Alzheimer's. This emphasis on biomedical research positions San Diego as a significant player in the broader big data landscape, attracting leading researchers and fostering innovation in data analysis techniques. The concentration of expertise and resources in this area underscores San Diego's growing reputation as a hub for advanced data science and its potential to contribute to breakthroughs in various fields, demonstrating its potential beyond its current focus.

2. Recruitment of Top Big Data Researchers

The text specifically highlights the recruitment of three leading big data researchers by UCSD and the J. Craig Venter Institute in La Jolla within a nine-month period. These researchers came from prestigious institutions like Google, MIT, and the University of Colorado, demonstrating San Diego's ability to attract top talent in the field. This influx of leading experts strengthens San Diego's position as a significant center for big data research and reinforces its commitment to innovation in data science. The recruitment of these high-profile individuals indicates a strategic investment in building a critical mass of expertise and accelerating the pace of research and development within the region. The quote, "Computers are the new microscopes, and data is the new blood draw," from Rajesh Gupta, further emphasizes the transformative power of data-driven research in biomedical fields.

VI.The Evolving Role of Accounting Serving Investors in a Data Driven World

To effectively serve investors, accounting must adapt to the changing landscape. This includes incorporating sustainability accounting, defining metrics to express company performance on material sustainability topics, and ensuring reasonable investors have access to decision-useful information. The shift towards predictive analytics means investors are increasingly focusing on forward-looking data rather than solely relying on historical audit data, thus altering the demands on financial accounting and managerial accounting practices.

1. The Need for Accounting to Adapt to Investor Demands

The section argues that to effectively serve investors in a data-driven world, accounting practices must evolve. The increasing availability of data and the growing sophistication of data analysis techniques mean investors are increasingly looking beyond traditional historical financial data. This shift necessitates a corresponding change in how accounting information is presented and used to inform investment decisions. The implication is that accountants must adapt their methods and the information they provide to meet these changing demands. This includes the integration of new methodologies and analytical tools to deliver more comprehensive and forward-looking insights, underscoring a move away from simply recording historical performance and toward anticipating and understanding future trends.

2. The Rise of Sustainability Accounting

The emergence of sustainability accounting is presented as a key element in this evolution. Sustainability accounting focuses on defining both qualitative and quantitative metrics that reflect company performance on material sustainability topics. This ensures that investors have access to relevant information to inform their investment strategies. The emphasis on providing decision-useful information highlights the importance of providing relevant and timely data that addresses the growing concerns of investors regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. The focus on providing a fair representation of company performance on these important issues underscores the shift towards a more holistic and comprehensive approach to financial reporting, which goes beyond purely financial considerations.

3. Data Analytics and the Future of Business Decision Making

The section briefly mentions the different types of data analytics and their application in business decision-making. Descriptive analytics help understand past and current events, while diagnostic analytics focus on identifying the reasons behind specific outcomes. Predictive analytics, which is the main focus of the document, helps determine what is most likely to happen based on a series of variables. This highlights the increasing reliance on data-driven insights to inform business decisions at all levels. The integration of these analytical techniques into accounting practices is directly linked to the ability to better serve investors by offering more precise and timely information. This evolution requires accountants to possess the skills and tools to effectively utilize data analytics for informed decision-making.